Financial capability research in Australia - School of Economics, Finance & Marketing
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March 2020 Financial capability research in Australia Roslyn Russell, Jozica Kutin & Tracey Marriner School of Economics, Finance & Marketing
Financial capability research in Australia March 2020 To cite this report Russell, R., Kutin, J. & Marriner, T. (2020) Financial Capability Research in Australia. RMIT University. School of Economics, Finance and Marketing College of Business and Law RMIT University Melbourne VIC 3000 https://www.rmit.edu.au/about/schools-colleges/economics-finance-and-marketing 2
Table of Contents Executive summary ............................................................................................................... 4 Key findings ....................................................................................................................... 4 Introduction ........................................................................................................................... 7 Context .............................................................................................................................. 7 Aim and Scope .................................................................................................................. 9 About this report ................................................................................................................ 9 Australian research landscape ............................................................................................ 10 Sources of evidence ........................................................................................................ 10 Approach to the review .................................................................................................... 11 Evidence and findings ......................................................................................................... 14 Topic 1: Financial wellbeing (FWB) ................................................................................. 14 Topic 2: Financial vulnerability and resilience .................................................................. 18 Topic 3: Financial capabilities .......................................................................................... 21 Topic 4: Financial decision-making .................................................................................. 24 Topic 5: Retirement and superannuation ......................................................................... 27 Topic 6: Financial education ............................................................................................ 32 Topic 7: Specific cohorts ................................................................................................. 37 Women ............................................................................................................................ 37 Older people .................................................................................................................... 39 Younger people ............................................................................................................... 40 CALD communities .......................................................................................................... 42 Indigenous people and communities ............................................................................... 44 People with disability & autistic individuals ...................................................................... 46 Implications and conclusions............................................................................................... 48 References ......................................................................................................................... 50 Appendices – Australian publications .................................................................................. 58 Table references ............................................................................................................. 80 3
Executive summary The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) requested that RMIT University provide them with a snapshot of the Australian research landscape relating to financial wellbeing and financial capabilities. This report reveals the topics where the research has concentrated, the knowledge gaps, challenges and where the research opportunities lie. This report includes research published between 2015 and 2019. We found that papers were concentrated around seven topics: financial wellbeing, financial vulnerability and resilience, financial capabilities, financial decision-making, retirement and superannuation, financial education, and financial wellbeing in vulnerable population groups (women, older people, younger people, CALD communities, Indigenous Australians, and people with disability). The strengths of the Australian research are: • it is multi-disciplinary reflecting the multi-faceted views of money in our society • there are several strong collaborative research teams • there is a significant body of work on superannuation and retirement related topics • national databases have been accessed to facilitate a large volume of research output relating to superannuation, retirement and financial literacy. Key findings The following are key findings that also include common themes on research gaps and opportunities in the Australian research landscape. 1. Measurement & methodologies There is a lack of consistency in the use of terminology across the research areas related to financial wellbeing and financial capabilities. Financial literacy, financial capabilities, financial inclusion, financial resilience and financial wellbeing are all related but are distinct concepts that are not interchangeable. These terms do not supersede each other. Comparing findings across the research is challenging when each study uses different definitions and indicators. Australian research has discovered a range of important correlations between factors associated with financial wellbeing, however the causes or the pathways that contribute to these associations are not well understood. The use of diaries or longitudinal methodologies to supplement cross-sectional analyses would provide a rich understanding of behaviours and decisions that lead to the outcomes measured using large datasets. 2. Improving resilience Australians are better at managing money day-to-day than being prepared for unexpected expenses or retirement. Many Australians do not have enough savings to ensure they are financially resilient. There is significant under-insurance among low-income groups and insurance literacy is lacking generally. Further research into measuring or diagnosing 4
vulnerability before individuals and households reach financial crisis stage would be valuable. There is growing research opportunity exploring the impact of insecure work and income volatility on financial vulnerability as work patterns change across Australia. 3. Focusing on subjective, psychological factors There is evidence that subjective factors such as confidence, self-belief and positive attitudes are associated with behaviours conducive to financial wellbeing however, there is a scarcity of research focusing specifically on these factors. Changing behaviour also requires understanding people’s values and motivation. We have an opportunity to explore the relationship between values and money, and how motivation can be best harnessed to encourage behaviour change. Having a better understanding and evidence of the importance of subjective factors can inform design of financial education initiatives. 4. Role of external factors in financial capabilities Although more difficult to change, we know that a range of external factors have an impact on financial capability. Further research to understand the role of external factors such as social and cultural norms in developing financial capabilities should be prioritised. For example, changing norms within peer groups can help to change behaviours. 5. Encouraging engagement with retirement planning There has been a concerted effort in understanding how to engage Australians to be more active in their retirement planning. Research has identified a complex relationship between consumer trust, interest and engagement levels with retirement funds. Understanding and identifying exactly what effective ‘engagement’ looks like would help to better understand motivations and other factors that sit behind apparent ‘apathy’ in retirement planning. 6. Improving effectiveness of financial education Considerable research effort has resulted in recommendations for improving the content, delivery, and measurement of the effectiveness of financial education. Programs that are contextualised and incorporate cultural and individual needs into content and delivery are recommended. Financial education needs to be considered as more than just a program, or curricula at school: it is a lifelong journey that includes school, university, work, just-in-time, and tailored individual support. Measuring the effects of financial education will be more reliable when measurement tools better reflect individual goals and expectations of programs are realigned to meet the needs of individuals. There is also a gap in financial education initiatives designed for couples and families, people with disabilities. 7. Improving financial outcomes for specific cohorts All specific cohorts that are prioritised in the National Financial Capability Research Roadmap require more research to understand the financial vulnerabilities experienced by each group. However, there is a particularly large gap in research that addresses the financial wellbeing and capabilities of people with disabilities. For example, there is 5
significant opportunity for research into the relationship between financial capabilities, financial situations and the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS). Research into the effect of pain on financial decision-making, cognitive disability and neurodiversity is also limited. There is a lack of general knowledge about the ‘real’ cost of ill-health and varying strategies people employ to cope with these costs. 6
Introduction The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) requested that RMIT provide them with a snapshot of the Australian research landscape on topics relating to financial wellbeing and financial capabilities. ASIC has developed and is implementing the National Financial Capability Strategy (the Strategy) (Australian Securities and Investments Commission, 2018). The aim of the Strategy is ‘for all Australians to be in control of their financial lives’. To achieve this aim, ASIC is specifically focusing on how to best facilitate the development of the population’s financial capabilities in a way that will have the greatest effect on promoting financial wellbeing. The more we work together and grow the network of resources to support people to better manage money day-to-day, make informed money decisions, and plan for the future, the closer we come to realising our vision, which is for all Australians to be in control of their financial lives. 1 This report will provide a scan or audit of the Australian research over the last 5 years to identify what we know and reveal where there are knowledge gaps that will help determine where future research efforts should be focused. Context Australia is unique – over the short- to medium-term past, the economy has been strong and gross domestic product, income and wealth have grown. However, wealth is inequitably distributed, and many Australians live in poverty (Muir, Hamilton, Noone, Marjolin, Salignac, & Saunders, 2017). The future, where jobs will continue to change, the financial system becomes more complex and reliance on natural resources will diminish at the same time as the population ages, will present issues for Australia the likes of which will be different to those encountered in the past. The Australian economy will suffer as the lower proportion of the population being of working age will mean an increased fiscal pressure on government unless the superannuation system is working well for most Australians. The Australian superannuation system was established about 30 years ago to account for the financial challenges facing the ageing population in western economies. The idea was to create a vehicle where all employees could save for their retirement. The amount of money a person needs to retire is controversial and is reliant on income, lifestyle and life expectancy. However, most Australians have nowhere near the amount of money needed. Women in particular have superannuation balances far lower than men and in many cases inadequate to cover retirement. 2 1 https://financialcapability.gov.au/strategy/#introduction 2 https://www.superannuation.asn.au/ArticleDocuments/269/SuperStats-Aug2019.pdf.aspx?Embed=Y 7
Australia has low household savings rates and high debt to income ratios resulting in high levels of financial vulnerability. The household saving rate in Australia decreased to 2.3% in the second quarter of 2019 from 3% in the first quarter of 2019. This is the lowest savings rate calculated for eleven years. 3 In March 2018, Australia's household debt to income ratio was 187%, 4 a level analysts called "extremely elevated" and "one of the highest in the world". 5 The ratio in June 2019, had climbed further to 191%. 6 In the period 2005-06 to 2017-18, the proportion of households with a debt 3 or more times household income rose from 23.4% to 28.4% which means there are an increasing proportion of households that are very sensitive to any changes in the economy. 7 Increased insecurity of work is making it harder to manage money. Juggling expenses with insecure / contract / casual work requires more sophisticated capabilities than have ever been needed before. Prolonged drought and global warming mean that huge numbers of farmers may need to leave the land and grapple with the complexities of managing family intergenerational finance issues. How could these topics be covered in financial education? The introduction and the rise of alternative credit type products and new ways of managing money such as the NDIS also present new challenges for Australians and those responsible for their financial education. The emergence of new credit products using ‘buy now pay later’ platforms and complex consumer leases, tend to be confusing for the general public. Unfortunately, these products also tend to be accompanied by attractive sales pitches and at best, murky conditions and a regulatory environment that struggles to keep pace with advances. How can consumer education continue to evolve and ‘keep pace’ with developments? In ASIC’s review of buy now pay later arrangements (completed in late 2018), they report that ‘The consumer protections under the National Consumer Credit Protection Act 2009 (National Credit Act) do not apply to buy now pay later arrangements. This means that buy now pay later providers do not need to hold an Australian credit licence to provide these arrangements, nor comply with the responsible lending obligations.’8 This situation further compounds the difficulties consumers face with this type of product. Individual consumer control over their disability support funding has been a fundamental shift to put the person at the centre of their care and provide them with control that has been very lacking pre NDIS. 9 NDIS recipients need to understand how to pay for supports including how much and when. They need to understand the supports available and the costs each year and budget so there is no shortfall. They need to accept payment requests, keep 3 https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/Latestproducts/5204.0Main%20Features22018- 19?opendocument&tabname=Summary&prodno=5204.0&issue=2018-19&num=&view= 4 https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/xls/e02hist.xls 5 https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-01-18/household-debt-extremely-elevated-and-tipped-to- grow/9340880 6 https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/tables/xls/e02hist.xls 7 https://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs@.nsf/mf/6523.0 8 https://download.asic.gov.au/media/4957540/rep600-published-07-dec-2018.pdf 9 https://choiceandcontrolaustralia.com.au/ndis/ 8
records and understand what to do with provider gap payments. 10 How can we ensure that people with disability and their carers are able to manage this money for the best possible outcomes to be delivered? How can financial capability be built quickly for people with all types of disability? How can those with cognitive impairment be helped to understand their finances so they can use their money wisely? What sorts of checks and balances should be in the system? Taking these factors into account – superannuation, household savings and debt, increase in insecure work, changes to credit and the impact of the NDIS, financial capability and wellbeing need to be researched in the Australian context to account for Australia’s uniqueness. Aim and Scope ASIC has formed a Financial Capability Research Steering Committee (the Research Steering Committee). This committee will provide independent advice to ASIC on the research priorities and opportunities related to building financial capabilities. The purpose of this report is to provide a research snapshot of what we know, reveal knowledge gaps and highlight opportunities for future research. The report can serve as a springboard for the Steering Committee in helping to set a research agenda for financial capability research. This report serves as a follow-up to the ‘Building Financial Capability Research Together’ summit held in December 2018 with approximately 50 academics researching in the areas of financial wellbeing and capabilities. This report can be used to identify research synergies and strengthen collaboration between researchers. About this report This report is specifically designed to examine Australian research in the area of financial wellbeing and financial capability. These broad areas encompass a range of related topics that are represented in the literature collated for this report. The literature was categorised into seven topics related to financial wellbeing and capability. Each topic has been examined and the ‘Gaps and issues’ section presents the information, drawing out emerging themes that point to examples of promising approaches, opportunities to extend or deepen existing work, and areas where further work is needed to strengthen the evidence base. 10 https://www.ndis.gov.au/participants/using-your-plan/self-management/paying-your-supports 9
Australian research landscape Research covering topics related to financial wellbeing and financial capabilities come from a wide range of disciplines. This is common when new research disciplines emerge. Research concentrations often arise from ‘real world’ problems which need a multi-disciplinary approach to find solutions. Understanding financial wellbeing, financial capabilities, behaviours and attitudes requires us to draw upon many sources, methodologies and theoretical frameworks. The research represented in this review comes from numerous disciplines including: accounting, actuarial studies, business, economics, education, finance, law, management, marketing, psychology, social policy, social sciences and sociology. Having such a wide range of disciplines contributing to the research in financial capabilities, brings richness to the content and methodologies but presents challenges when attempting to arrive at consensus on definitions and measurement tools used in the research. Hence, comparing findings or building a solid evidence base on topics can be problematic. There are some key hubs of research activity associated with the following universities and centres and these can be found in the appendix tables. Sources of evidence We used multiple sources of evidence to capture Australian publications on financial capability related research. This review encompasses information from both peer-reviewed and judiciously chosen grey literature published between 2015 and 2019 by Australian researchers and/or used Australian data. Table 1. Sources of evidence Source Description ASIC Research Summit The ASIC RMIT Financial Capability Research Summit included research mapping activity. Research indexing Searches using keywords on Web of Science, Google Scholar and databases EconLit Financial Capability FCA have created an online repository of publications that focus Australia research on financial capability, financial wellbeing and financial education. archive 11 Only Australian publications were accessed. University web pages University web page profiles of academics who have been of academic profiles identified as researching in the area of financial literacy, or financial capabilities. 11 https://financialcapability.gov.au/research/ 10
Approach to the review To ensure a strong representation of Australian publications on financial wellbeing, financial capabilities and related topics for the compilation of this review, we employed the following process: Step 1: Identification of financial capability researchers There are several key hubs of financial capability research activity in Australia. In 2018 the websites of these hubs were used to confirm and update a list of academics whose research was related to financial capability and financial wellbeing. 12 Snowballing techniques were used to ensure people outside these organisations were included as appropriate. Step 2: ASIC RMIT Research Summit ‘Building Financial Capabilities Together’ Academics identified in Step 1 were invited to attend the ASIC-RMIT inaugural research summit ‘Building Financial Capabilities Together’ (the Summit) in December 2018 (96 invitees, 51 attendees). At the Summit we conducted a research mapping exercise and asked the attendees to identify their current research projects, targeted cohorts and topics related to financial capability (29 responses). We used this data to initiate the process of forming research concentration areas. Following the summit, journal articles and reports by the invited list of academics were sourced by searching research databases and university profile pages. Step 3: Online information searches In 2019 we updated the search to capture recent publications using keyword searches. The following keywords were used in database and internet literature searches for reports and research papers: • Budgeting • Financial behaviour • Financial capability • Financial decision-making • Financial education • Financial literacy • Financial resilience • Financial shocks • Financial vulnerability/vulnerable • Financial wellbeing • Money management • Savings. 12 Owned by the report authors from a previous search conducted in mid-2018. 11
Inclusion criteria: • Published in the period 2015-2019 • English language • Using Australian data and / or authored by an Australian researcher Searches were conducted of the online databases Web of Science and EconLit. Additional searches were conducted using Google, Google scholar and the Financial Capability Australia research archive 13 which is an online repository of publications that focus on financial capability, financial wellbeing and financial education. Reference lists in journal articles and reports were examined to identify additional sources of information. We found 11 papers on financial wellbeing, 8 papers on financial vulnerability and resilience, 8 papers on financial capabilities, 9 on financial decision-making, 21 on superannuation and retirement, 21 on financial education. Within the specific cohorts - 6 papers on women, 5 on older people, 7 on young people, 6 on CALD communities, 8 on Indigenous Australians, and 3 that focussed on people with disabilities (some papers were counted more than once; see Appendices). For each identified publication that met the inclusion criteria for the evidence base, the following information was compiled in several tables for future reference and as a record of the papers examined for this review (see Appendices). • Authors • Organisational affiliation • Source type e.g. journal article, report etc • Description of data sources including whether primary data or secondary data 14 • Cohort sample. Step 4: Study review Each publication was then reviewed to identify their contribution to the fields of financial wellbeing and financial capabilities. As the review progressed, seven topics emerged as being representative of the research concentrations. The concentrations are not equally distributed across topics drawing attention to where further research is warranted. In forming the topics we were also cognisant of the priority areas of ASIC that were identified in the National Financial Capability Research Roadmap. The seven topics are: 1. Financial wellbeing 2. Financial vulnerability and resilience 3. Financial capabilities 4. Financial decision-making 5. Retirement and superannuation 13https://financialcapability.gov.au/research/ 14Primary data is data collected by the authors, e.g. their own survey, interviews or focus discussion groups. Secondary data has been collected by other authors or centres and reanalysed for the purposes of the report or journal article. 12
6. Financial education 7. Financial wellbeing in specific population groups: o Women o Older people o Younger people o CALD communities o Indigenous Australians o People with disability Limitations While the review methodology was designed to provide a representation of the Australian research relevant to financial wellbeing and financial capabilities since 2015, it is not exhaustive. The literature audit is a combination of inductive and deductive methods i.e. we started with our list of Summit invitees of Australian researchers and then included an online database search of relevant terms. Unless paper titles or abstract included the specific search terms, they may have been missed and we may not have comprehensively captured individual researchers’ publication records. As researchers compiling this review, we are also cognisant of existing international research that has been valuable to our understanding of financial capabilities and financial wellbeing. Although this report is deliberately focused on the Australian research, international research has contributed to our analytic insights. 13
Evidence and findings This section of the report explores seven topics that represent the breadth of Australian research related to financial wellbeing and financial capability. Each topic section includes what we know from the papers, presents emerging themes and opportunities for future research. Topic 1: Financial wellbeing (FWB) There has been a cluster of studies conducted internationally and in Australia with the aim of defining financial wellbeing and identifying the factors that are associated with it. International models of financial wellbeing have been developed in: Norway – UK (Kempson, Finney & Poppe, 2017); USA – (CFPB, 2015, 2017 & 2018); and the UK (Hayes, Evans & Finney, 2016). In Australia, three major studies have contributed to what we know about financial wellbeing in the Australian context: Muir, Hamilton, Noone, Marjolin, Salignac & Saunders, 2017; ANZ, 2018; and Comerton-Forde et al., 2018, Haisken-DeNew et al., 2019 & CBA-MI, 2019. 15 There has also been analysis using secondary data exploring relationships between household factors and financial wellbeing (Brown & Gray, 2016). This review primarily focusses on the findings from the Australian empirical studies. What do we know? There are two views of financial wellbeing. The two views share a temporal dimension but differ in the other elements included. One view combines objective and subjective components of an individual’s financial life into the concept of financial wellbeing. The objective elements include meeting day-to-day expenses, meeting future expenses, and coping with unexpected financial events. The subjective elements include feeling in control, feeling financially comfortable, feeling financially secure, feeling in control of your money, and being satisfied with financial situation. Financial wellbeing is defined as being able to meet current and ongoing expenses and commitments, being financially comfortable to be able to make choices to allow one to enjoy life, feeling secure about the financial future, and having resilience to cope with financial adversity 16. The other view sees financial wellbeing as an individual’s purely subjective assessment of their financial situation. The idea is that there are objective facts of financial life (e.g., meeting day-to-day expenses, being able to absorb a financial shock, and having assets). Then there is the individual’s cognitive and affective assessment of these objective facts (e.g., feeling in control of finances, believing you can enjoy life because of your financial situation, and believing you are on track for your financial future). Financial wellbeing is this subjective assessment and can be compared to the objective facts. In this way, we can see 15 The CBA-MI studies incorporate several separate papers all relating to the joint research between CBA and Melbourne Institute. They are: Comerton-Forde, Ip, Ribar, Ross, Salamanca and Tsialias (2018); Haisken-DeNew, Ribar, Salamanca, Nicastro & Ross, 2019; CBA-MI, 2019). 16 This definition is a summary of the combined definitions from the Australian studies. 14
whether the individual’s financial wellbeing is calibrated with their objective financial situation. If not, we can examine whether they are over or under worried about their finances. In this view, financial wellbeing is defined as the perception of being able to sustain current and anticipated desired living standards and financial freedom (Brüggen, Hogreve, Holmlund, Kabadayi, & Löfgren). There is a current and a future component to financial wellbeing. Current money management stress is feeling the struggle to manage today’s financial obligations and having a sense that you cannot enjoy life because of your financial situation while expected future financial security is a belief that you are prepared for future financial obligations and that you are securing your financial future (Netemeyer, Warmath, Fernandes, & Lynch 2017). There are clear similarities between these views with the only difference being that one view combines objective facts and subjective assessments while the other examines these as two different constructs with financial wellbeing including only the subjective assessment. Components of financial wellbeing The conceptual definitions of the Australian FWB models include objective, subjective and temporal dimensions. Table 2: Components of FWB models Objective Subjective Temporal Meeting day-to-day expenses Feeling in control Day-to-day Meeting future expenses Feeling financially comfortable Life events Coping with unexpected financial Feeling financially secure Future events (financial resilience) Feeling in control of your money Being satisfied with financial situation Determinants of financial wellbeing In line with the international research, the Australian studies have found that financial wellbeing is influenced in varying degrees by: • External conditions – macro-economic, financial inclusion, social support, public programs, social and cultural norms • Household factors – income and financial resources, financial situation, social capital, health of household members • Individual characteristics – Financial knowledge, skills, behaviours, attitudes, psychological traits, health 15
• Temporal factors – life stages and life events. Factors associated with financial wellbeing Having an understanding about factors that contribute to financial wellbeing is important. This allows for development of effective policies, interventions, and financial education and support that create the circumstances, facilitate behaviours and attitudes needed to foster financial wellbeing. Equally, understanding the circumstances, behaviours and attitudes that negatively impact financial wellbeing allows identification of issues that may, with appropriate input, be modifiable to improve financial wellbeing. Positive associations • Financial behaviours, capabilities & traits: having a saving habit; spending restraint; planning; delayed gratification; budgeting either mentally or formally; being financially organised; good understanding of finances and financial products, always paying off credit card balance • Health: Good general and mental health • External conditions: social contact; community and government support • Household characteristics: Employment; income (to some extent) and good financial situation, owning a home, partnered/couple relationships. Negative associations • Economic and household situations: relationship breakdown, job loss, ill health, disabilities that impact work, decline in financial situation, and unpaid care responsibilities that impact work, debts other than mortgage • Individual financial behaviours and capabilities that serve as warning signs or indicators of lower financial wellbeing are: overspending, finding finance confusing, having difficulties in paying rent or mortgage and having a car or personal loan. Financial wellbeing levels of Australians We know how Australians fare in terms of their financial wellbeing. By using an adapted scale from the Kempson et al., (2017) FWB model, Australians have an average score of 59 out of 100 (ANZ, 2018). The CBA-MI (2019) study found Australians to have a median reported financial wellbeing score of 55 out of 100 and a median observed financial wellbeing score of 57.9 out of 100. 17 Overall, the studies show that Australians are better at managing and meeting every-day financial commitments than meeting unexpected expenses (financial resilience) or being financially secure for the future. Australians worry about not being able to provide for their family’s future, meet health expenses or having enough to live on in retirement. 17 The CBA-MI study matched survey data (reported) with bank transaction data (observed) 16
Gaps and issues • Measuring financial wellbeing and its components is challenging as there is a lack of consistency in the terminology, concepts and measurement tools used. The terms financial literacy, capabilities, skills, and behaviours are used differently across studies, sometimes interchangeably. • The Australian studies have identified a range of important associations with financial wellbeing, however the causes or the pathways that contribute to these associations are not well understood. • We don’t have a clear understanding how and to what degree external factors such as government policies, social and community support impact the individual factors associated with financial wellbeing. Opportunities • Develop consistent, accurate definitions and measures by consensus. Consistent (consensus) definitions would enable meaningful comparisons between groups and over time and promote reliability in research. • Reaching a national consensus on the measurement of financial wellbeing would pave the way for the creation of a national data set and / or the better alignment of existing datasets such as HILDA and ABS to include consistent measures. • Identify and understand causal factors and pathways that contribute to positive or negative associations with financial wellbeing. • Undertaking a financial diaries project in the Australian context would provide a rich understanding of consumer contexts, events that impact financial wellbeing within a household and decisions / behaviours made along the journey that impact outcomes. • More accurately characterising and defining the relationships between the social and individual factors included in the financial wellbeing models would greatly assist our understanding of the impacts of external factors (Bowman, Banks, Fela, Russell & de Silva, 2017). We could explore the use of scenario planning and econometric modelling to estimate the effect of changes in the macro and or policy environments related to financial wellbeing. 17
Topic 2: Financial vulnerability and resilience There is a growing body of research that is furthering our understanding of the level and nature of financial resilience in Australia. Having financial resilience is one of the major components of financial wellbeing, so it is important we understand what enhances financial resilience and decreases financial vulnerability. We also know from the financial wellbeing studies that Australians perform weaker in the component of financial resilience than in managing day-to-day. Financial resilience is defined as ‘an individual’s ability to access and draw on internal capabilities and appropriate, acceptable and accessible external resources and supports in times of financial adversity’ (Salignac, Marjolin, Reeve & Muir, 2019). What do we know? Understanding financial vulnerability • Financial vulnerability and financial resilience occupy opposite ends of a spectrum (Salignac et al., 2019). Reducing financial vulnerability should lead to increased financial resilience. Vulnerability and resilience are multi-dimensional and involve the same mix of indicators: economic resources, knowledge of and confidence in using financial products (subjective and objective), proactive financial behaviours and social capital. Levels of financial vulnerability & resilience in Australia • There are over two million Australian adults experiencing high levels of financial vulnerability (NAB & CSI, 2018; Salignac et al., 2019). A significant proportion of Australians report experiencing anxiety about not being able to meet an unexpected expense (NAB Behavioural & Industry Economics, 2019; ME, 2019) indicating a concerning level of vulnerability among Australian households. • Some research shows that the levels of financial resilience in Australia have increased slightly from 2016 to 2018. The increase has been attributed to increased levels of financial knowledge and improved behaviours (NAB & CSI, 2018). Factors associated with financial vulnerability: • Over-indebtedness is strongly associated with financial vulnerability (Bourova, Anderson, Ramsay & Ali, 2019). Relying on high cost short-term loans (payday loans) are an indicator of financial vulnerability. Around 7% of Australians have payday loans (NAB Behavioural & Industry Economics, 2019) and of all debts, these loans are reported to cause people the most stress. • Work insecurity, income volatility and low levels of income are associated with financial vulnerability (Bowman & Banks, 2018). • There is no clear relationship between levels of financial hardship (vulnerability), financial confidence and financial literacy. However, there is some evidence that people with high levels of debt are likely to have lower levels of financial literacy (Bourova et al., 2019). 18
• Older Australians who experience multiple health conditions are more likely to be financially vulnerable. They are more likely to be financially excluded, have higher levels of consumer debt and struggle with meeting ongoing out-of-pocket health expenses (Temple & Williams, 2018). • Mental health issues and a pessimistic outlook are strongly associated with financial vulnerability. People with lower incomes, and those from non-English speaking backgrounds (NESB) had lower levels of resilience and higher levels of vulnerability (Salignac et al., 2019). • Insurance literacy is low in Australia, with inadequate product knowledge, lack of trust in providers and lack of awareness of risk mitigation strategies (Driver, Brimble, Freudenberg & Hunt). Insurance literacy is distinct from general financial literacy and specialist education on insurance could reduce susceptibility to anchoring effects (Lin, Bruhn & William, 2019) • Lower-income households are significantly under or non-insured. Contributing to this high level of under or non-insurance are a lack of appropriate, affordable insurance products, lack of trust in insurance companies and a high level of complexity in the insurance process. Inadequate asset protection leaves many Australians vulnerable to unexpected loss (Russell, Priday, & Pedell, 2014; Banks & Bowman, 2017). • Australians have low levels of household savings. Programs aimed at improving saving behaviour have helped to develop financial resilience in low-income households. There are also macroeconomic benefits of large-scale savings interventions (Russell, Stewart & Cull, 2015). • Certain psychological characteristics have been shown to mediate the effect of financial vulnerability on financial outcomes. A savings mindset (personal savings orientation – PSO) and financial self-efficacy are important characteristics to develop within consumers. Including a focus on developing these particular psychological characteristics has the potential to improve the effect of interventions (Hoffmann & McNair, 2019). Gaps and issues • We don’t have a clear understanding of the multiple pathways that lead people to critical stages of vulnerability. There is also inadequate focus on the connections between social and economic policies and household vulnerability. • Insurance literacy is low among Australians leaving consumers without appropriate asset protection. There is widespread lack of product knowledge, low level of trust in providers and little awareness of risk mitigation strategies. This situation is compounded for lower-income households where there is significant risk of under or non-insurance. The asset protection needs of lower-income households are not met and not well understood. 19
• Many Australians do not have enough savings to ensure they are financially resilient. Opportunities • Review and revise financial vulnerability in Australia applying insights from the recent US work by O’Connor et al., (2019). Devising an easy to use diagnostic tool to assess vulnerability before an individual or household reaches crisis stage. A diagnostic tool could also be used in financial education programs. • Undertaking scenario and econometric modelling to explore the connections between changes in social and economic policies and household vulnerability, indebtedness, income volatility and the effect these factors have on individual financial capabilities and behaviours. • Research and develop ways to improve insurance literacy, particularly for ‘at-risk’ groups. Research and develop ways to encourage innovative approaches in insurance products that are suitable for low-income consumers. • Research the best methods for encouraging Australians to develop rainy day saving behaviours. This should include investigation of the potential benefits of investing in social marketing initiatives. Saving for a ‘rainy day’ has been shown to be a strong motivator - How can we scale-up this behaviour? Include a focus on developing a savings mindset to strengthen the behaviour. 20
Topic 3: Financial capabilities Financial capabilities involve shared sets of behaviours, individual traits and external factors that contribute to a person’s financial wellbeing. Financial capabilities that are most important to financial wellbeing are being able to manage money day-to-day, planning and saving for the long-term and financial decision-making. FWB studies in Australia have shown that individual financial capabilities significantly contribute to financial wellbeing (ANZ, 2018; Comerton-Forde et al., 2018, Haisken-DeNew et al., 2019 & CBA-MI, 2019). What do we know? What behaviours are most important? The Australian FWB studies found the following behaviours are strongly associated with financial wellbeing • Active saving. Savings have also been shown to have psychological benefits in addition to tangible outcomes. It builds confidence, provides a sense of security, reduces stress and has the power to shift time orientation towards the future (Russell, Stewart, & Cull, 2015). Differences in financial literacy (knowledge) affects how much people save. Across income groups, people with lower levels of financial literacy save less. Understanding the concept of diversification is positively affected with how much people save and this is reflected in varying income groups (Brockman & Michayluk, 2015). People had more liquid savings if they had a positive attitude toward saving, if they had savings goals and if they viewed themselves as financially capable (Gerhard, Gladstone & Hoffmann, 2018). Personality characteristics such as extroversion and agreeableness were associated with less savings, as was having an optimistic outlook on life (Gerhard et al. 2018). • Spending restraint or financial discipline • Living within one’s means • Not borrowing for everyday expenses • Managing debt • Planning and budgeting What skills contribute to financial capability? The skills that are important to financial capabilities include: • Research – how you find, process and use relevant information (Vyvyan, Blue & Brimble, 2014) • Numeracy – mathematical capabilities (Sawatzki, 2017) 21
• Problem solving – financially we are in this situation, how do we move forward? (Sawatzki, 2017) Planning and goal setting (Comerton-Forde et al., 2018; CBA-MI, 2019; Vyvan, et al., 2014). What psychological factors impact on financial capability? • Financial self-efficacy (Russell et al, 2016) • Not being impulsive (ANZ, 2018) • Self-belief and confidence (ANZ, 2018; Vyvyan et al., 2014) • Internal locus of control (ANZ, 2018) • Future orientation (ANZ, 2018; Vyvyan et al., 2014) • Positive attitude towards money (Muir et al., 2017) Other factors that affect financial capabilities Technology • Having adequate levels of digital literacy is also important to developing financial capabilities. Technology, such as the use of apps, and insights from behavioural economics including nudges can play an important role in developing capabilities of low-income individuals (Good Shepherd Microfinance Advisory Services, 2019). Although the Muir et al., (2017) study found no correlation between the use of budgeting apps and financial wellbeing, the use of technology in assisting money management behaviours can be further explored. Digital literacy is certainly important in being able to research and acquire information needed to make financial decisions or to find where to seek further advice. Income • Households and individuals on low incomes employ a range of capabilities that help mitigate financial hardship. These strategies, skills and behaviours are not usually captured with financial capability measures. Social-financial connectedness measure includes utilising sharing platforms, family, friends and informal economies and bartering. Individual saving strategies included use of shop-a-dockets, loyalty cards, monitoring sales, catalogues and employing self-control techniques (Snow, Vyas & Brereton, 2017). Gaps and issues • We don’t know enough about the contribution of subjective knowledge and capabilities. Improvements to people’s financial capabilities can occur through increased confidence, self-belief and relevant support. • We know motivation and other psychological traits are critical to behaviour change. Further research on how to harness people’s motivation, at varying times, when encouraging behaviours that impact financial wellbeing would contribute to understanding how and when to provide interventions to help build capabilities. 22
• A range of household factors have an impact on financial capability. Individuals need opportunity and a context conducive to developing financial capabilities. Which household factors contribute to better financial capabilities? • Measurement of knowledge, skills and behaviours are inconsistent and perhaps measuring variables that are not relevant to what we know contribute to financial wellbeing. Should we still be using the Lusardi & Mitchell (2011) financial literacy questions given recent learnings regarding the type of knowledge that contributes to financial wellbeing? Opportunities • Developing people’s confidence and self-belief in their capabilities is just as important as objective knowledge and capabilities. How can we best do this and how can these more subjective elements be incorporated into all models of financial capability interventions and successfully measured? • What role does motivation play in financial behaviour change? Understanding when people are more (or less) motivated to undertake changes to their financial behaviours will facilitate success of interventions. • Research to improve understanding of how best to leverage and work with external influences that impact on financial capabilities. This work should extend to further exploration into the role of social networks, using sharing platforms and skill sets (e.g. human computer interaction) required to build social-financial connectedness (Snow et al., 2017). • Psychological characteristics influence household saving behaviour differently across various groups of individuals. These differences should be considered when designing interventions to improve saving behaviour (Gerhard, Gladstone & Hoffmann, 2018). • It is timely to revisit the indicators used to measure financial literacy (knowledge), behaviours and skills. The big 3 literacy questions have been used for 10 years and it may be time to reconsider these as the ‘go to’ questions. 23
Topic 4: Financial decision-making We make financial decisions every day—some are small decisions, while others are larger, require more knowledge and skills and have longer-term consequences. Decisions may be made once or many times. Financial decision-making is a capability that underpins day-to- day money managing, planning for the future and needed to help cope with financial adversity. Ideally, some financial behaviours should become a habit—such as saving—so the same level of skills and cognitive resources are not required every pay day for saving to occur—other financial behaviours and strategies will require more complex decision-making capabilities. The frequency of decision-making will influence development of capabilities. Skills improve with practice. The research relating to financial decision-making is intertwined with other topics in this review such as financial wellbeing and retirement and superannuation. What do we know? Seeking financial advice • Consumers are unsure how to choose ‘good’ financial advisors, what credentials they should have and if the credentials advertised are meaningful. It is also difficult for consumers to know how to judge the quality of advice especially on complex issues (Agnew, Bateman, Eckert, Ishakov, Louviere & Thorp, 2019). • Financial advisor anxiety can deter people from seeking financial advice when needed. A financial advisor anxiety scale has been developed to help diagnose this issue (Gerrans & Hershey, 2017). Factors influencing financial decision-making • In financial decision-making within couple relationships, physical and mental health of partners along with cognitive abilities and personality can affect financial decision- making capabilities. Studies that explore household decision-making need to obtain data from both partners because there is a difference in responses between male and female decision-makers (Johnston et al., 2016). • Emotions play an important role in individual and household financial decision- making (Russell et al., 2016). How people decide on credit options when experiencing financial hardship can be influenced by emotions such as shame, guilt or anger (Marston, Banks & Zhang, 2017). • Life events significantly contribute to financial decision-making especially in the wealth portfolio that includes the family home. Job loss, retirement and death of a spouse are events that can predictably or unpredictably lead to transitioning out of the family home (West & Worthington, 2018a). • Some people have a disconnection between their present and future. For some its due to the enormity of what they know they should save or have in their 24
superannuation; others view themselves as passive to the process and therefore mentally ‘check out’ thinking the ‘system’ or fund will take care of things. The complexity and difficulty in sourcing understandable information are barriers to planning (Cheah, Foster, Heaney, Higgins, Oliver, O’Neill &Russell, 2015). • How information is portrayed in communication materials has been found to influence investment decision-making (Aspara, Chakravarti & Hoffmann, 2015). Gaps and issues It can be difficult for consumers to access the information and support they need from financial advisors when making financial decisions for a variety of reasons such as: • Lack of knowledge about financial advisors (who to go to, what their qualifications are or should be). • Lack of trust or too much trust (is the advice ‘sound’ and how do you know if it is or not?) • Affordability. Australians on average to low incomes are unable to afford formal financial advice and are more likely to rely on family and friends for information. Australians are willing to pay ‘something’ but not the price range currently on offer (OEE et al., 2016). • Assistance is often needed at crisis points in life and many consumers may be less likely to reach out for support at these times due to emotional distress. • Non-economic factors such as personal characteristics of household members and social context have been found to play an important part in influencing decision- making however, there are significant gaps in understanding these factors in the Australian context. Financial decision-making is not always (rarely is) made in isolation. • The most commonly used measurement tools in financial decision-making studies (e.g. cross-sectional studies) observe financial decisions in isolation. For example, the proportion of people who appear to have made a ‘decision’ to not contribute to a retirement fund is identified in a dataset—and then associations with available variables such as gender, income, household type etc are made to arrive at a particular finding, such as that women or people living on low incomes, make poor financial decisions (or no decision) regarding their retirement. Studies on financial decision-making rarely include an attempt to understand consumer decision pathways. This limits our understanding of the pathways to financial decisions and hence, the role of various factors that affect a person’s financial capabilities, bifurcation points, choice constraints and time points where interventions could possibly work. 25
Opportunities • What does the average consumer need when making financial decisions? What information, delivery mechanism and support do consumers need and what are the barriers to accessing this when required (for example at the time of major life events)? This research would be expected to lead to interventions to increase awareness of how the financial advice process works which would help to reduce anxiety and encourage people to seek advice. • How can we develop tailored individual advice that is accessible, affordable and trustworthy? Is there potential for a ‘medi-care’ model for finances e.g. ‘money-care? • Australian research into the non-economic factors that influence financial decision- making would shed light on other issues important to effective financial decision- making. • What impact does household member health and wellbeing – physical and mental, emotions and anxiety – have on financial decision-making? • What role does social context play in financial decision-making? o How can we measure the effect of social and cultural norms? o The perceptions of our families and peers, the norms of the community we live in will naturally shape financial values and goals and therefore our financial decisions. • How does imperfect optimisation affect financial decision-making? o Not accurately evaluating the ‘consideration set’ of choices will affect the quality of financial decision-making. o People on lower incomes have a constrained set of choices. Even so, influencing factors such as marketing can affect decisions by swaying consumers to put too much weight on some attributes and not enough on others. o The level of complexity involved in a choice can cause inaction – also considered a choice. • What is the role of consumers’ biased judgements and preferences in financial decision making? o How does a consumer’s natural inclination to loss aversion influence financial decision-making? o How does consumer tendency to focus on the present at the expense of the future influence financial decision-making? • Conducting Australian research into consumer financial decision-making pathways, will provide researchers with a more informed view on how best to assist consumers’ financial decision-making with the most effective resources at the most effective time. 26
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